The future is obsolete

Well it has finally happened. And it seems to have taken everyone by surprise. Not one forward thinking person, not one forecaster or prophet, thought this day would ever come, but it has. The future is obsolete. All those who made a name for themselves, or just a living, by peering into the murky future and projecting things to come are no longer needed.

We should have seen it coming. Based on historical trends it was obvious that this would happen soon. Early in the 20th century, many started treating anything more than a few centuries old as ancient and insignificant. Then in the 1960’s students decided no one over 30 could be trusted. By the 1990’s products were obsolete by the time they made it to the store, if not before. With the ever shortening window of time that was considered relevant, it is obvious that the next step would be to declare the future to be irrelevant.

Many will object that the present has yet to become irrelevant. However, since these arguments have not yet been raised and future arguments no longer have any bearing on the present, I will not bother to fully explain why that logic does not work. Suffice it to say that the present does not exist, as it appears, between the past and the future. As a matter of fact, many would argue that the present does not exist at all, but I think anyone who comes to that conclusion simply does not understand the true meaning of existence.

But back to my point, if the historical trend was so obvious, and the future so clear, how is it that no one knew that this was about to happen. I think that this may have happened, because forecasters ignored what has, for thousand of years, been one of their most powerful tools. Historical trends cannot be used as an absolute predictor of the future. Past performance is not indicative of future results. But, historical trends are very helpful in getting some idea of what might happen even if they do not predict what will happen. If they had simply looked at the past they would have seen that the future would soon be irrelevant and given up forecasting long ago.

But who am I to judge. Hindsight is twenty-twenty, and I do not remember predicting this either. As for the present, it will very likely be relevant for a long time. Although, based on historical trends, it does appear possible that it too could become obsolete at some point in the future.

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2 Comments

  1. Posted January 10, 2009 at 11:35 am | Permalink

    I really like this post, but I think it might be a little over my head!

  2. Posted July 16, 2009 at 8:05 pm | Permalink

    On Instapundit, they refer to … I can’t remember the name– (the Convergence?- that’s not right, but something like that)- ; I could look it, but by the time I found it up, it would be obsolete…

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  1. By Luke Gedeon » My Best No Comment Posts on May 26, 2008 at 10:41 pm

    [...] The future is obsolete [...]

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